WEEK 11 MARKET UPDATE

OCEAN CONTAINER RATES SLIDE AS US TARIFFS SHADOW LOGISTICS PLANNING 

The initial announcement of 25% tariffs on all U.S. imports from Mexico and Canada sent shockwaves through the  logistics industry. However, within days, the administration issued a one-month reprieve for automotive goods covered  by the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, later extending this suspension to all imports under the agreement.  This impacts an estimated 50% of imports from Canada and 38% from Mexico, including automotive goods, food and  agricultural products, and many appliances and electronics. Similarly, ocean prices on the Asia-Europe trade have dipped  below last year’s low in recent weeks. Asia-North Europe rates increased 3% to $3,064 per FEU. Asia-Mediterranean  prices stayed level at $4,159 per FEU. While general rate increases at the start of March slowed the decline, pushing  rates up by a couple hundred dollars, this increase fell well short of the $1,000 hike carriers had announced. Asia Mediterranean prices have stabilized and are roughly on par with rates from a year ago. 

CONTAINER IMPORTS HEADED FOR SUMMER DOLDRUMS, SAYS NRF 

Imports at major U.S. container ports are expected to remain high through spring but could see year-over-year declines  this summer, according to the latest Global Port Tracker report from the National Retail Federation and Hackett  Associates. The ongoing tariff situation continues to impact import volumes and strategies. “Retailers are continuing to  bring as much merchandise into the country ahead of rising tariffs as possible,” said Jonathan Gold, NRF vice president  for supply chain and customs policy, in a release. Hackett predicted that such a fee could alter shipping patterns, with  carriers likely to use larger vessels and consolidate calls at major ports rather than make multiple stops at smaller ports.  While ports managed the surge in import volume during the final quarter of 2024 without major issues, these potential  changes could put additional pressure on the supply chain at the largest American gateways and negatively impact  smaller hubs. 

AMID OCEAN CONTAINER LINER GAINS, ZIM EARNINGS SHINE 

Zim Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. results saw a significant turnaround as strategic operational expansions and  increased market penetration yielded substantial gains in 2024.The world’s 10th-largest carrier said full-year revenues  soared to $8.43 billion, up 63% year over year as net income of $2.15 billion improved a loss of $2.69 billion in 2023.  Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization reached $3.69 billion, up 252% y/y. Fourth quarter revenues climbed to $2.17 billion, an 80% increase from the same period in 2023. Net income stood at $563  million, from a loss of $147 million. For 2025, Zim projects an adjusted EBITDA between $1.6 billion and $2.2 billion,  with adjusted earnings before interest and taxes expected to range from $350 million to $950 million. These projections  reflect the company’s confidence in sustaining its positive momentum, but the carrier in a release said it remains vigilant  about geopolitical tensions and uncertain economic policies affecting global trade dynamics. The company declared a Q4  2024 dividend of $382 million, contributing to a total dividend payout of $961 million for the year, or approximately 45%  of net income. 

TRITON ACQUIRING GLOBAL CONTAINER INTERNATIONAL 

Headquartered in Bermuda, container leasing giant Triton is acquiring Global Container International (GCI) in a deal  valued at more than $1 billion, including outstanding debt. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2025,  subject to customary closing conditions including regulatory approval. Boston- based Global Container International was established in 2018 by industry executives in partnership with funds managed by Wafra Inc. fleet of around 500,000 teu  under long-term lease to container lines globally. Following the transaction Triton’s fleet of containers will increase to  7.5 milion teu.“The GCI team has created an impressive business with a well-structured long-term lease portfolio. This  acquisition is an excellent strategic fit for Triton that will allow us to lock in meaningful container fleet growth,” said  Brian Sondey, CEO of Triton. Jeffrey Gannon, CEO of GCI, and Adrian Dunner, COO, shared, “As we end this exciting  chapter, we want to say how deeply thankful we are to our customers, vendor partners, and dedicated employees, all of  whom have played a critical role in our long-term success.”

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